Tony Hanna's Musings
Just thought I would put together a quick Bookies Update as there have been a few things happening over the past few days. One new player that has come onto the radar is William Carvalho. The Portuguese midfielder would be an excellent signing if we pulled this one off and he has always been around the 20/1 (5%) mark but over the past few days he has come into 4/1 (20%) and again into 3/1 (25%) this morning. The prices suggest we have at least made an approach but reports also suggest it is way off the release clause in the player’s contract. This signing would be massive but the pessimistic side of me says “don’t get too excited yet Tone”.
The market move for Andre Gray to move to Watford in Sundays bookies update was spot on the money and that deal has now gone through. Crazy money even in today’s over valued market. The prices for Wilshere and Jota to become Hammers have again slightly drifted but not enough yet to think our interest has faded. Both deals are rated a little worse than even money (50%). There has been backing for Lanzini to move to Liverpool in the past four days and he has moved from 1-8 (88%) to 1-4 (80%) to stay. The second domino following the Neymar transfer is still yet to fall. All the pundits are saying that Coutinho will leave Liverpool “because once Barcelona come calling” it will be impossible for him to say no to them. That may be true but is not being entirely shown in the bookies prices as they still only rate the deal as a little better than a 50/50 chance of happening. On the other hand Dortmund’s Ousmane Dembele is 1/10 (91%) to sign for the Spanish club. You would have to think if Coutinho stayed at Liverpool there would be no chance of Liverpool showing any interest in Lanzini, if indeed there was any in the first place?
There has been no odds change on Adrian departing the club. Crystal Palace are still even money (50%) to sign him with Newcastle second favourites and West Ham 3rd in the market at 5/2 (28%). There has been some money for Aston Villa to take Robert Snodgrass on loan but the favoured way is still for him to remain a Hammer (63% chance).
Elsewhere, clubs have been cooling off in their interest in Leicester’s Riyad Mahrez. Roma are still favourites to sign him at 4/5 (55%) but the chances of him staying put are increasing every day. There has also been a significant move from Spurs for one player who has been on our radar for some time. Keita Balde Diao is now a 6/4 (40%) chance to join our rivals.
Since writing my article I am pleased to say that the strong market move for William Carvalho has continued. He is now into 1/3 (75%)